Explore featured publications representing ongoing work being conducted by early career professionals across the Department of the Interior's Climate Science Centers and partner institutions. If you are a student or post-doc affiliated with one of the regional CSCs and would like to have your publications featured on this page, please contact us at

Pacific Islands CSC

On the relation between large-scale circulation pattern and heavy rain events over the Hawaiian Islands: Recent trends and future changes

Timm, O.E., Takahashi, M., Giambelluca, T.W., & Diaz, H.F.

2013 | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

In Hawai'i precipitation is crucial for freshwater supply and reliable projections of future precipitation changes, which may alter the frequency of extreme rain events and flash floods, are needed for the water resource and risk management. A statistical downscaling model was developed from the relationships between the synoptic weather patterns and heavy rainfall events (daily rainfall >the 90th percentile) at 12 stations over the Hawaiian Islands for wet season months (November to April).

The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability

Mora, C. et al. including Frazier, A.G. and L.R. Kaiser

2013 | Nature

Projections of warming are now a fixture of climate modelling exercises. We have used an ensemble of these simulations to present a new index that estimates when ongoing warming will exceed the bounds of historical climate variability.


The social, economic, and environmental importance of inland fish and fisheries

Lynch, A.J., et al.

2016 | Environmental Reviews

Although aquaculture and inland capture fisheries contribute more than 40 percent of the world’s reported finfish production, their harvest is greatly under-reported and value is often-ignored.  Inland waters, which comprise about 0.01 percent of the earth’s water, are lakes, rivers, streams, canals, reservoirs and other land-locked waters.Topping the list of the value of inland fish and fisheries is food and economic security: these fisheries provide food for billions of people and livelihoods for millions worldwide. They are a primary animal protein consumed by many of the world’s rural poor, especially those in developing countries.

Geoknife: Reproducible web-processing of large gridded datasets

Read, J.S., et al.

2015 | Ecography

Geoprocessing of large gridded data according to overlap with irregular landscape features is common to many large-scale ecological analyses. The geoknife R package was created to facilitate reproducible analyses of gridded datasets found on the U.S. Geological Survey Geo Data Portal web application or elsewhere, using a web-enabled workflow that eliminates the need to download and store large datasets that are reliably hosted on the Internet.

Climate change projections for lake whitefish (Coregonus clupeaformis) recruitment in the 1836 Treaty Waters of the Upper Great Lakes

Lynch, A.J., Taylor, W.W., Beard Jr., D.T., & Lofgren, B.M.

2015 | Journal of Great Lakes Research

Lake whitefish (Coregonus clupeaformis) is an ecologically, culturally, and economically important species in the Laurentian Great Lakes. Lake whitefish have been a staple food source for thousands of years and, since 1980, have supported the most economically valuable (annual catch value ≈ US$16.6 million) and productive (annual harvest ≈ 7 million kg) commercial fishery in the upper Great Lakes (Lakes Huron, Michigan, and Superior).