Selecting climate change scenarios using impact-relevant sensitivities

Authors: 

Vano, J.A., Kim, J.B., Rupp, D.E., & Mote, P.W.

Publication source: 
Geophysical Research Letters
Year: 
2015
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Publication summary: 

Climate impact studies often require the selection of a small number of climate scenarios. Ideally, a subset would have simulations that both (1) appropriately represent the range of possible futures for the variable/s most important to the impact under investigation and (2) come from global climate models (GCMs) that provide plausible results for future climate in the region of interest. We demonstrate an approach to select a subset of GCMs that incorporates both concepts and provides insights into the range of climate impacts.

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